Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Lindholm
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Lindholm
Smith
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
6
Lindholm
Smith
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
4
Lindholm
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Lindholm
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,338)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.2% (1,683)
51.2% (342)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,588)
45.3% (985)
+2.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lindholm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (8,933).
Lindholm shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Smith
Home
54.0% (5,833)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.5% (5,776)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Lindholm
Smith
P1
53.9%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
OT
53.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |