Elias Pettersson vs Evgeni Malkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Malkin 46.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Pettersson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pettersson
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
45.7% (219)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
34.6% (26)
+20.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Malkin
Home
49.3% (584)
50.4% (113)
Away
44.5% (555)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Pettersson
Malkin
P1
45.8%
47.7%
P2
47.9%
44.9%
P3
47.1%
40.0%
OT
47.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |