Elias Pettersson vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.8%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Malkin 45.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Pettersson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Pettersson
Malkin
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
6
Pettersson
Malkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
9
Pettersson
Malkin
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
45.6% (10,081)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
50.1% (668)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
32.2% (59)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Malkin
Home
46.8% (2,734)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Pettersson
Malkin
P1
44.7%
45.9%
P2
46.0%
46.2%
P3
47.4%
45.2%
OT
39.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |