Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Nazar 45.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nazar 59.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 61.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Pettersson
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pettersson
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Pettersson
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Nazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
45.2% (314)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
39.5% (38)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.8% (29)
+7.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nazar
Home
48.1% (489)
43.4% (196)
Away
46.9% (475)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Pettersson
Nazar
P1
47.4%
47.3%
P2
48.3%
40.3%
P3
46.6%
46.7%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |