Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Veleno 47.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 65.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Pettersson
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Pettersson
Veleno
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Veleno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
5
Pettersson
Veleno
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
1
Pettersson
Veleno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
47.4% (2,311)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
51.0% (98)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
36.4% (88)
+2.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Veleno
Home
46.8% (2,734)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Pettersson
Veleno
P1
44.7%
48.0%
P2
46.0%
47.7%
P3
47.4%
45.9%
OT
39.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |