Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Tavares 57.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 81.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Pettersson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Pettersson
Tavares
Last 5: Pettersson 0-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Pettersson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Pettersson
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
58.0% (914)
-12.1%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
57.0% (235)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
57.9% (19)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Tavares
Home
49.3% (584)
57.8% (614)
Away
44.5% (555)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Pettersson
Tavares
P1
45.8%
58.0%
P2
47.9%
56.9%
P3
47.1%
58.4%
OT
47.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |