Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Pettersson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pettersson
Tavares
Last 8: Pettersson 4-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Pettersson
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
57.7% (998)
-11.4%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
60.5% (271)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
56.4% (39)
-4.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Tavares
Home
48.1% (489)
59.7% (610)
Away
46.9% (475)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Pettersson
Tavares
P1
47.4%
57.2%
P2
48.3%
58.5%
P3
46.6%
59.4%
OT
55.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |