Elias Pettersson vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 74.2%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 62.4%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Pettersson
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Sourdif
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Pettersson
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
3
Pettersson
Sourdif
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
44.6% (556)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
50.0% (24)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
61.5% (13)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Sourdif
Home
49.3% (584)
43.6% (321)
Away
44.5% (555)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Pettersson
Sourdif
P1
45.8%
43.1%
P2
47.9%
43.9%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
OT
47.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |