Elias Pettersson vs Justin Sourdif
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.2%). Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 62.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 68.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 52.8%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Pettersson
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Sourdif
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Pettersson
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
3
Pettersson
Sourdif
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
44.6% (556)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
50.0% (24)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
61.5% (13)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Sourdif
Home
46.8% (2,734)
43.6% (321)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Pettersson
Sourdif
P1
44.7%
43.1%
P2
46.0%
43.9%
P3
47.4%
48.6%
OT
39.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |