Elias Pettersson vs Leo Carlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.2% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor Pettersson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Pettersson 73.7%
Defensive zone Pettersson 64.1%
Neutral zone Pettersson 59.7%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Pettersson Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
Pettersson Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
3
Pettersson Carlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson Carlsson
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
45.5% (661)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
46.3% (82)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (84)
+2.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +9.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
49.3% (584)
42.5% (428)
Away
44.5% (555)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
45.8%
45.4%
P2
47.9%
39.7%
P3
47.1%
48.5%
OT
47.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
39.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%
50.5%
47.0%
Carlsson
38.0%
39.5%
44.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 26, 2025 3 07:40 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 3 07:21 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 3 02:49 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 2 19:28 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 26, 2025 2 13:26 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 2 07:45 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 26, 2025 2 07:39 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 1 13:14 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 26, 2025 1 05:55 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Nov 26, 2025 1 01:46 Offensive Elias Pettersson