Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.5%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Carlsson 46.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
47.1% (533)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
46.3% (80)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
33.8% (80)
+2.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
48.3% (453)
44.4% (340)
Away
43.4% (495)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
44.7%
48.2%
P2
46.0%
38.4%
P3
46.4%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |