Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
45.5% (661)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
46.3% (82)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (84)
+2.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
49.3% (584)
42.5% (428)
Away
44.5% (555)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
45.8%
45.4%
P2
47.9%
39.7%
P3
47.1%
48.5%
OT
47.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |