Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 92.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 91.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 92.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 9: Pettersson 8-1 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
34.4% (535)
+16.0%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
42.9% (21)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
40.0% (5)
+0.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
50.7% (420)
38.6% (254)
Away
50.9% (379)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
48.0%
35.9%
P2
47.6%
33.8%
P3
57.5%
34.3%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |