Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Kunin 46.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 65.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Pettersson
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pettersson
Kunin
Last 6: Pettersson 3-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Kunin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
3
Pettersson
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
48.9% (366)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
34.6% (26)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
35.2% (88)
+5.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kunin
Home
50.7% (420)
45.7% (245)
Away
50.9% (379)
45.5% (235)
By Period
Pettersson
Kunin
P1
48.0%
46.5%
P2
47.6%
45.0%
P3
57.5%
44.9%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |