Elias Pettersson vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McTavish 49.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 55.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Pettersson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson
McTavish
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Pettersson
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Pettersson
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
47.6% (616)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
57.8% (102)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (6)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McTavish
Home
49.3% (584)
52.2% (389)
Away
44.5% (555)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Pettersson
McTavish
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
47.9%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
47.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |