Elias Pettersson vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs McTavish 50.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 56.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 65.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Pettersson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pettersson
McTavish
Last 7: Pettersson 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
51.1% (769)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
50.6% (178)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
28.6% (14)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McTavish
Home
48.1% (489)
52.3% (461)
Away
46.9% (475)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Pettersson
McTavish
P1
47.4%
51.5%
P2
48.3%
54.0%
P3
46.6%
47.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |