Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Kadri 46.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Pettersson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Pettersson
Kadri
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
3
Pettersson
Kadri
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Pettersson
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
45.7% (1,295)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
52.7% (146)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
34.8% (23)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kadri
Home
48.1% (489)
46.5% (725)
Away
46.9% (475)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Pettersson
Kadri
P1
47.4%
47.2%
P2
48.3%
44.9%
P3
46.6%
46.3%
OT
55.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | OT | 02:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |