Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Philp on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Philp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Philp 48.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Philp leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Philp 51.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Pettersson
Philp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Pettersson
Philp
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Philp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Philp
2
3
Pettersson
Philp
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Philp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Philp
1
2
Pettersson
Philp
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Philp
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
50.0% (204)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
33.3% (21)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Philp shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Philp
Home
46.8% (2,734)
52.6% (97)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
45.3% (128)
By Period
Pettersson
Philp
P1
44.7%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
48.9%
P3
47.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Noah Philp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Noah Philp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Noah Philp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |