Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Acciari 51.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 90.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 61.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Pettersson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pettersson
Acciari
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
7
Pettersson
Acciari
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
53.0% (285)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
31.3% (16)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
50.8% (183)
-15.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Acciari
Home
49.3% (584)
53.2% (267)
Away
44.5% (555)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Pettersson
Acciari
P1
45.8%
53.1%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
50.6%
OT
47.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |