Elias Pettersson vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Thomas 51.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 74.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 75.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Pettersson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Pettersson
Thomas
Last 8: Pettersson 7-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
1
Pettersson
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
50.1% (615)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
62.2% (98)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
52.6% (114)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Thomas
Home
49.3% (584)
51.9% (374)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Pettersson
Thomas
P1
45.8%
49.2%
P2
47.9%
55.3%
P3
47.1%
50.6%
OT
47.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |