Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Greene 45.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 88.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Pettersson
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pettersson
Greene
Last 8: Pettersson 6-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Greene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Pettersson
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
44.1% (506)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
47.5% (59)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
43.6% (149)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Greene has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Greene is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Greene
Home
49.3% (584)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.5% (555)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Pettersson
Greene
P1
45.8%
47.2%
P2
47.9%
39.0%
P3
47.1%
47.0%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |