Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 45.9%). Pettersson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Pettersson
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
51.5% (928)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
35.0% (226)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pettersson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,679).
Pettersson shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gagner
Home
46.5% (2,603)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Pettersson
Gagner
P1
44.5%
44.6%
P2
45.6%
46.1%
P3
47.3%
47.3%
OT
40.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%