Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.9%). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Pettersson
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
51.5% (928)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
35.0% (226)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gagner
Home
46.8% (2,734)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Pettersson
Gagner
P1
44.7%
44.6%
P2
46.0%
46.1%
P3
47.4%
47.3%
OT
39.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%