Elias Pettersson vs Steven Lorentz
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Pettersson
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Lorentz
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Pettersson
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Pettersson
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
48.3% (497)
-4.2%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
63.6% (11)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
38.5% (39)
-3.7%
On even strength, Lorentz has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Lorentz
Home
45.0% (489)
50.4% (238)
Away
43.7% (508)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Pettersson
Lorentz
P1
46.0%
49.1%
P2
45.7%
48.0%
P3
42.2%
47.2%
OT
23.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |