Elias Pettersson vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 61.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Pettersson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Stamkos
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
56.1% (342)
-10.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
53.3% (92)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
62.5% (8)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stamkos
Home
49.3% (584)
53.4% (208)
Away
44.5% (555)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Pettersson
Stamkos
P1
45.8%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
47.1%
59.1%
OT
47.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |