Elias Pettersson vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Pettersson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Pettersson
Stamkos
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Pettersson
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Pettersson
Stamkos
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
50.4% (9,799)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
55.1% (1,725)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
49.7% (825)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (2,734)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Pettersson
Stamkos
P1
44.7%
49.1%
P2
46.0%
52.7%
P3
47.4%
50.9%
OT
39.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |