Elias Pettersson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 68.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Pettersson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pettersson
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
43.2% (146)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
50.0% (2)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
44.8% (29)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Girgensons
Home
49.3% (584)
40.3% (72)
Away
44.5% (555)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Pettersson
Girgensons
P1
45.8%
43.8%
P2
47.9%
44.6%
P3
47.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |