Emmitt Finnie vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finnie 48.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finnie 70.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Finnie
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finnie
Backlund
Last 5: Finnie 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Finnie
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Finnie
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finnie
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
49.7% (13,410)
-0.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
51.6% (1,336)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.0% (2,446)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Finnie is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Finnie shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Finnie
Backlund
Home
47.3% (55)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
44.1% (34)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Finnie
Backlund
P1
48.4%
48.5%
P2
48.1%
50.3%
P3
41.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finnie
56.0%▲
46.1%
46.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Emmitt Finnie |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Emmitt Finnie |