Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Belanger 54.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.1%
Defensive zone
Belanger 85.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 73.6%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
O'Reilly
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
O'Reilly
Belanger
Last 5: O'Reilly 3-2 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Belanger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Belanger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
2
O'Reilly
Belanger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
56.5% (1,019)
-10.3%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
62.0% (108)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.1% (164)
+7.9%
On power play, Belanger has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Belanger
Home
48.1% (243)
58.2% (672)
Away
44.9% (254)
52.2% (625)
By Period
O'Reilly
Belanger
P1
43.2%
54.4%
P2
45.6%
54.6%
P3
50.9%
57.1%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |