Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Belanger 54.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.5%
Defensive zone
Belanger 57.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
O'Reilly
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
O'Reilly
Belanger
Last 10: O'Reilly 4-6 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Belanger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
2
O'Reilly
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
3
O'Reilly
Belanger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
57.4% (754)
-12.9%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
49.0% (49)
-0.7%
On even strength, Belanger has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Belanger
Home
50.9% (112)
55.5% (519)
Away
40.4% (156)
55.1% (488)
By Period
O'Reilly
Belanger
P1
56.5%
53.1%
P2
40.4%
58.0%
P3
36.3%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
35.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |