Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Duchene 50.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.1%
Defensive zone
Belanger 73.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Belanger
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Belanger
Duchene
Last 5: Belanger 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Belanger
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
51.0% (357)
+6.4%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
53.6% (28)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
50.0% (2)
-0.5%
On even strength, Belanger has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Belanger
Duchene
Home
55.5% (519)
51.0% (208)
Away
55.1% (488)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Belanger
Duchene
P1
53.1%
53.3%
P2
58.0%
53.4%
P3
54.5%
44.6%
OT
63.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |