Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.2%). Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.4%
Defensive zone
Belanger 75.2%
Neutral zone
Belanger 53.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Belanger
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
19
(43 meetings)
24
19
Belanger
Duchene
Last 10: Belanger 9-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
10
Belanger
Duchene
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
11
1
Belanger
Duchene
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Belanger
Duchene
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
53.9% (10,396)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
56.9% (1,665)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
49.1% (468)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Belanger
Duchene
Home
56.3% (1,350)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Belanger
Duchene
P1
53.5%
54.5%
P2
55.4%
54.5%
P3
56.2%
53.4%
OT
53.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |