Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.6%). Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 52.9% vs Duchene 54.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.5%
Defensive zone
Belanger 63.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 53.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Belanger
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Belanger
Duchene
Last 10: Belanger 9-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
1
Belanger
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
4
0
Belanger
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (270)
56.8% (706)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.1% (57)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (99)
42.3% (130)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Belanger is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Belanger shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Belanger
Duchene
Home
50.9% (159)
56.6% (488)
Away
55.7% (219)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Belanger
Duchene
P1
52.3%
52.0%
P2
51.5%
53.7%
P3
58.3%
58.5%
OT
57.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |