Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 24 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 34-30 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.2%
Defensive zone
Belanger 65.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 50.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Belanger
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
34
(64 meetings)
30
34
Belanger
Stastny
Last 10: Belanger 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
18
Belanger
Stastny
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
13
7
Belanger
Stastny
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
11
9
Belanger
Stastny
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
54.6% (10,616)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Belanger
Stastny
Home
56.3% (1,350)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Belanger
Stastny
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
55.4%
55.4%
P3
56.2%
53.5%
OT
53.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |