Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Johnson 60.0% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 64.6%
Defensive zone
Belanger 58.5%
Neutral zone
Belanger 62.7%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Belanger
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Belanger
Johnson
Last 6: Belanger 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Belanger
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Belanger
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
63.8% (260)
-7.3%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
50.0% (4)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
63.0% (46)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Belanger shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Belanger
Johnson
Home
58.2% (672)
69.8% (126)
Away
52.2% (625)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Belanger
Johnson
P1
54.4%
63.0%
P2
54.6%
61.8%
P3
57.1%
66.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |