Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Johnson 60.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 64.5%
Defensive zone
Belanger 58.0%
Neutral zone
Belanger 62.4%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Belanger
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Belanger
Johnson
Last 6: Belanger 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Belanger
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Belanger
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
63.8% (260)
-6.7%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
50.0% (4)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
63.0% (46)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Belanger
Johnson
Home
56.3% (1,350)
69.8% (126)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Belanger
Johnson
P1
53.5%
63.0%
P2
55.4%
61.8%
P3
56.2%
66.0%
OT
53.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |