Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Belanger wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Kesler 57.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 80.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 52.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Belanger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
7
(24 meetings)
17
7
Belanger
Kesler
Last 10: Belanger 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
9
3
Belanger
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
4
1
Belanger
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
4
3
Belanger
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
57.3% (1,022)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
61.5% (200)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
54.9% (257)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Belanger is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Belanger shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Belanger
Kesler
Home
58.2% (672)
58.6% (766)
Away
52.2% (625)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Belanger
Kesler
P1
54.4%
58.9%
P2
54.6%
56.8%
P3
57.1%
57.5%
OT
42.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |