Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 56.0%). Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Belanger wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 33-13 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 58.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Belanger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
13
(46 meetings)
33
13
Belanger
Kesler
Last 10: Belanger 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
14
6
Belanger
Kesler
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
10
1
Belanger
Kesler
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
9
6
Belanger
Kesler
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
56.4% (8,095)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Belanger shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Belanger
Kesler
Home
56.3% (1,350)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Belanger
Kesler
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
55.4%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
56.1%
OT
53.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |