Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Kesler 53.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.9%
Defensive zone
Belanger 80.6%
Neutral zone
Belanger 56.2%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Belanger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Belanger
Kesler
Last 10: Belanger 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
5
3
Belanger
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
5
0
Belanger
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
5
3
Belanger
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
53.8% (981)
+3.6%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
56.9% (160)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
49.2% (185)
+0.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Belanger is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Belanger shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Belanger
Kesler
Home
55.5% (519)
54.1% (690)
Away
55.1% (488)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Belanger
Kesler
P1
53.1%
52.3%
P2
58.0%
52.8%
P3
54.5%
56.3%
OT
63.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |