Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Smyth 46.1% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 50.2%
Defensive zone
Belanger 92.8%
Neutral zone
Belanger 82.9%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Belanger
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Belanger
Smyth
Last 6: Belanger 4-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
Smyth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Belanger
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
47.0% (66)
+9.5%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
40.7% (59)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
33.3% (6)
+8.8%
On power play, Belanger has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Belanger shoots left. Smyth is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Belanger
Smyth
Home
58.2% (672)
47.8% (67)
Away
52.2% (625)
38.5% (65)
By Period
Belanger
Smyth
P1
54.4%
42.5%
P2
54.6%
39.2%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |