Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Smyth 45.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 51.9%
Defensive zone
Belanger 89.2%
Neutral zone
Belanger 82.4%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Belanger
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Belanger
Smyth
Last 6: Belanger 4-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
Smyth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Belanger
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
45.2% (456)
+11.9%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
51.8% (164)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
23.3% (43)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Belanger has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Belanger
Smyth
Home
56.3% (1,350)
49.7% (340)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Belanger
Smyth
P1
53.5%
48.3%
P2
55.4%
41.7%
P3
56.2%
46.5%
OT
53.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |