Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.5%). Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Ott 55.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 72.4%
Defensive zone
Belanger 57.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 54.2%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Belanger
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Belanger
Ott
Last 9: Belanger 6-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
2
Belanger
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Belanger
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
56.9% (705)
+0.5%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
55.8% (154)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
48.3% (145)
+1.2%
On power play, Ott has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Belanger
Ott
Home
55.5% (519)
54.9% (526)
Away
55.1% (488)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Belanger
Ott
P1
53.1%
55.4%
P2
58.0%
54.0%
P3
54.5%
56.1%
OT
63.6%
73.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |