Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.5%). Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 54.2%
Defensive zone
Belanger 50.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 54.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Belanger
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Belanger
Ott
Last 10: Belanger 6-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
6
9
Belanger
Ott
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
7
4
Belanger
Ott
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Belanger
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
57.2% (2,802)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
55.4% (567)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
49.9% (853)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Belanger
Ott
Home
56.3% (1,350)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Belanger
Ott
P1
53.5%
56.7%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
55.7%
OT
53.1%
60.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |