Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Marchant 48.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchant 69.5%
Defensive zone
Marchant 75.7%
Neutral zone
Marchant 83.8%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Belanger
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Belanger
Marchant
Last 9: Belanger 2-7 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
1
3
Belanger
Marchant
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
3
Belanger
Marchant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Marchant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
50.5% (368)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
28.6% (7)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
42.4% (158)
+2.5%
On power play, Belanger has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Belanger
Marchant
Home
56.3% (1,350)
50.3% (302)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Belanger
Marchant
P1
53.5%
46.3%
P2
55.4%
49.7%
P3
56.2%
48.1%
OT
53.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |