Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.1%
Defensive zone
Belanger 57.8%
Neutral zone
Belanger 53.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Belanger
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Belanger
Seguin
Last 8: Belanger 5-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Belanger
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
53.7% (8,071)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
55.9% (810)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
49.3% (762)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Belanger shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Belanger
Seguin
Home
56.3% (1,350)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Belanger
Seguin
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
55.4%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
54.7%
OT
53.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |