Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nystrom wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs Bonino 48.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.5%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 64.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.1%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nystrom
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nystrom
Bonino
Last 5: Nystrom 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Nystrom
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
48.0% (150)
-12.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
44.4% (9)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
0.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nystrom has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Nystrom is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Nystrom shoots left. Bonino is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Bonino
Home
32.7% (55)
46.9% (98)
Away
35.5% (76)
47.1% (68)
By Period
Nystrom
Bonino
P1
35.0%
55.6%
P2
36.4%
50.8%
P3
30.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
28.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |