Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nystrom wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 42.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 56.7%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 52.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.3%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Nystrom
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nystrom
Bonino
Last 5: Nystrom 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Nystrom
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (175)
50.6% (8,315)
-12.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
54.1% (972)
-37.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Nystrom is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Nystrom shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Bonino
Home
41.8% (98)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
35.7% (112)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Nystrom
Bonino
P1
40.3%
50.6%
P2
38.9%
48.5%
P3
36.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
38.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |