Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Nystrom wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs Stastny 53.0% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 85.4%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 77.0%
Neutral zone
Nystrom 81.5%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Nystrom
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nystrom
Stastny
Last 5: Nystrom 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Nystrom
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Nystrom
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Nystrom
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
52.2% (1,107)
-16.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.0% (254)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
46.4% (138)
-21.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Nystrom is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Nystrom shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Stastny
Home
32.7% (55)
52.5% (785)
Away
35.5% (76)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Nystrom
Stastny
P1
35.0%
51.3%
P2
36.4%
55.2%
P3
30.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
28.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |