Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nystrom wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 42.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nystrom 87.0%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 86.6%
Neutral zone
Nystrom 89.8%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Nystrom
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Nystrom
Stastny
Last 10: Nystrom 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Nystrom
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Nystrom
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Nystrom
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (175)
54.6% (10,616)
-16.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
59.1% (1,994)
-42.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Nystrom is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Nystrom shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Stastny
Home
41.8% (98)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
35.7% (112)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Nystrom
Stastny
P1
40.3%
56.3%
P2
38.9%
55.4%
P3
36.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
38.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |