Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Nystrom wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 42.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 92.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 91.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 89.2%
10.8%
89.2%
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Last 7: Nystrom 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
2
0
Nystrom
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nystrom
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (175)
56.2% (15,260)
-18.5%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
58.8% (3,445)
-42.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nystrom is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Nystrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Home
41.8% (98)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
35.7% (112)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Nystrom
O'Reilly
P1
40.3%
55.6%
P2
38.9%
57.0%
P3
36.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
38.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |