Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.0% vs Staal 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 56.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 64.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Barkov
Staal
Last 8: Barkov 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Barkov
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Barkov
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (673)
52.0% (1,126)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.1% (133)
56.5% (239)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.8% (65)
+3.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
50.9% (407)
56.7% (727)
Away
46.8% (412)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
49.6%
50.9%
P2
48.4%
54.7%
P3
49.6%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
60.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |