Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Staal 51.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 60.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
48.8% (514)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
59.2% (147)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
62.5% (8)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
55.8% (138)
57.8% (277)
Away
44.0% (168)
46.7% (392)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
47.2%
51.2%
P3
48.0%
53.4%
OT
44.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |